The Signal and the Noise

This book explores the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Nate Silver, the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com, explains through his own groundbreaking work, how we can improve our appreciation of probability to make our predictions more successful. He visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to the stock market, and evaluates what bonds they share. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read.